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Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Is Instant Runoff Voting Hurting Minorities in Fair Vote's Home Town?

Ground Zero for IRV is also "Ground Zero" for minority representation in government. Zero meaning zilch, nada nothing.

The latest canard is that IRV helps minorities. A July 24 news article shows that this is not true, at least not in the home town of the Fair Vote Director, Rob Richie. The "IRV helps minorities" claim was used on the North Carolina State Legislature last month, and I believe it worked, even though it was challenged by Representative Angela Bryant.

Yes, "the truth is out there", right there in Fair Votes' own back yard. It turns out that Fair Vote Director Rob Richie's home town of Takoma Park Maryland, the home base for IRV, has Zero (0) zilch NADA minority representation. And voter turnout flat out sucks. A July 24 news article compares minority representation in the governments of 3 Maryland towns. Takoma Park is the loser.

Greenbelt mulls changes to its voting system Thursday July 24, 2008

...Takoma Park and College Park both have district systems, but each still has majority white councils. College Park has two women, one of whom is African-American...

"Takoma Park is 34 percent African-American.." yet "....Takoma Park, in Montgomery County, has no minority representative. "

Turnout in Takoma Park?

"Of the 17,299 total city population, only 1,010 people voted in the last City Council election."

....Takoma Park is divided into six voting districts. There are six council members and one mayor. All of its elected officials are white.

Takoma Park City Manager Barbara Burns Matthews admitted the council was not representative of the community according to census data, especially since the city has a large immigrant population.

One of the problems, Matthews said, is lack of contention. In the last election, only one district had multiple delegates running. The others only had one name on the ballot.


Doesn't this sound like San Francisco in 2007? Low turnout, stale stagnant politics with no real competition for the mayors contest, one candidate for DA, and 2 candidates for Sheriff? Incumbent protection.

Is it worth it?

Friday, July 18, 2008

Update on Instant Runoff - Raleigh Could Be Sending an Election Disaster Your Way

Dear Verified Voting Activists:

Today we lost the battle, but not the war. The legislature approved the Instant Runoff Pilots in spite of our warnings. Your efforts did encourage the lawmakers to put limits on these pilots that weren't applied in the previous ones. Please stay with us as we continue the fight to protect our elections. There is more work to do. Thank you for your hard work!

Limitations for the new pilot include:

Rep Angela Bryant's amendment - that "...the local governing board that is the subject of the election must approve participation in the pilot and also must agree to cooperate with the county board of elections and the Board in the development and implementation of a plan to educate candidates and voters about how to use the runoff voting method."

and

Representative Verla Insko's amendment - "The State Board of Elections, in consultation with the School of Government at the University of North Carolina, shall by January 1, 2009, develop for the pilot program authorized in this section goals, standards consistent with general election law, and criteria for implementation and evaluation. The pilot program shall be conducted according to those goals, standards, and criteria."

I urge you to press your County Boards of Elections and local officials to avoid the IRV experiments.

Here is my press release sent to media across the state, if you have touch screens in your county you should be really scared:

#

Press Release

Is an election disaster headed to your neck of the woods?

North Carolina, July 18, 2008/ NCVVNewswire/NC Coalition for Verified Voting

Today Raleigh has authorized another Instant Runoff Voting pilot, this time for a 3 year period. At risk is the public confidence in elections regained after a Florida style election debacle in 2004. After passing the Public Confidence in Elections Law in 2005, North Carolina began to lead the nation in election reliability and transparency. Now our state is headed down a slippery slope, eating away at our model election system.

We urge cities and counties - don't be the next guinea pig.

You have a choice - between simplicity or complexity with our nations most vital instruments of democracy. Choose wisely, our votes should not be an experiment to be discounted, miscounted, or mis-appropriated. Remember, we warned about a paperless voting meltdown long before it happened in November 2004 and weren't listened to then.


Consider that officials couldn't handle counting IRV in Cary North Carolina on simple paper ballots. Jan 22, 2008 Raleigh News and Observer. Opinion mixed on Cary's instant-runoff trial.
Counties using touch screens are in for a real treat, or maybe a nightmare election meltdown.

See for yourself the State Board of Election's "work around" to count instant runoff votes on touch screens: Just glance at the full 5 pages single spaced details on how to perform this work around. You don't have to read each line to understand the risks with this. *Beneath this list, we explain what is wrong with using this work around to run an election.

Determine if there are any candidates that have received the 50% threshold to be declared winner(s).

To tabulate a runoff election follow these procedures:

1. Announce the two (2) candidates that are in the Instant Runoff.
2. Print document - Hendersonville IRV-Ballot Position Numbers.pdf to determine the voting positions for each candidate in the Instant Runoff.
3. Remove the “Compact Flash Cards” from the iVotronic voting devices in the City of Hendersonville precincts.
4. Capture the Election Data in ERM;
a. Clear Audit Data in ERM.
b. Import Compact Flash Audit Data
c. Collect Audit Data - From Specified Drive –c:\elecdata\7GNCHEND\GNGFLASH\ADT.
d. Select machines from Armory Precinct only.
e. Consolidate Audit Data.
f. Create Vote Image Log.
g. Print Vote Image Log – Select Contest/Precinct, Numbers Only, Printer.
h. Select EL155 from the Report File Utility and click on Copy – Name the file IRV_Armory.txt and copy to a location that you can retrieve from (desktop, portable flash drive, etc).
i. Clear Audit Data in ERM.
j. Collect Audit Data - From Specified Drive –c:\elecdata\7GNCHEND\GNGFLASH\ADT.
k. Select machines from Southwest Precinct only.
l. Consolidate Audit Data.
m. Create Vote Image Log.
n. Print Vote Image Log – Select Contest/Precinct, Numbers Only, Printer.
o. Select EL155 from the Report File Utility and click on Copy – Name the file IRV_Southwest.txt and copy to a location that you can retrieve from (desktop, portable flash drive, etc).
p. Clear Audit Data in ERM.
q. Collect Audit Data - From Specified Drive –c:\elecdata\7GNCHEND\GNGFLASH\ADT.
r. Select machines from all remaining Hendersonville precinct machines.
s. Consolidate Audit Data.
t. Create Vote Image Log.
u. Print Vote Image Log – Select Contest/Precinct, Numbers Only, Printer.
v. Select EL155 from the Report File Utility and click on Copy – Name the file IRV_All and copy to a location that you can retrieve from (desktop, portable flash drive, etc).
5. Open a blank Excel Spreadsheet and import.
a. Change “files of type” to All Files - Select file IRV_Armory.txt to import – Click on OK.
b. Select Fixed width and click on Next.
c. Place separators at 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45 and 50.
d. Press Next and then Finish. Save the Excel File with the name IRV_Armory.xls and a location that you can retrieve.
6. Open a blank Excel Spreadsheet and import.
a. Change “files of type” to All Files - Select file IRV_Southwest.txt to import – Click on OK.
b. Select Fixed width and click on Next.
c. Place separators at 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45 and 50.
d. Press Next and then Finish. Save the Excel File with the name IRV_Southwest.xls and a location that you can retrieve.
7. Open a blank Excel Spreadsheet and import.
a. Change “files of type” to All Files - Select file IRV_All.txt to import –Click on OK.
b. Select Fixed width and click on Next.
c. Place separators at 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45 and 50.
d. Press Next and then Finish. Save the Excel File with the nameIRV_All.xls and a location that you can retrieve.
8. Open file Hendersonville IRV Tabulation Form.xls.
9. Open the Excel file that you created in Step 5d.
a. Delete Column B
b. Sort data on Column A
c. Delete all rows without machine numbers.
d. Highlight all the data for Armory Precinct and copy.
e. Copy the data into Hendersonville IRV Tabulation Form.xls in the RED Tab 1st-2nd Choice – click in Cell A9 and then copy.
f. Highlight the imported data (A9 to the end) and sort on Column B
g. Using the file created in Step 5d, highlight all the data for Southwest Precinct and copy.
h. Copy the data into Hendersonville IRV Tabulation Form.xls in the BLUE Tab 1st-2nd Choice – click in Cell A9 and then copy.
i. Highlight the imported data (A9 to the end) and sort on Column B
j. Using the file created in Step 5d, highlight all the data for all the other precincts in the City of Hendersonville (excluding Armory and Southwest) and copy.
k. Copy the data into Hendersonville IRV Tabulation Form.xls in the BLACK Tab 1st-2nd Choice – click in Cell A9 and then copy.
l. Highlight the imported data (A9 to the end) and sort on Column B.
10. Verify that the vote totals for the candidates match the ERM Report.
a. Click on Yellow Tab Grand Totals – Totals for each candidate should match the report on ERM.
b. Print copy of YELLOW Tab Grand Totals.
11. Click on BLACK Tab 3rd Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 1st & 2nd Choice.
a. Column B should already be sorted.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 1st & 2nd Choice (Voting positions 3 thru 7 – example: Caldwell=3, Caraker=4, etc.).c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 3rd Choice but not a 1st or 2nd choice (Voting positions 13 thru 17).
e. Highlight the remaining data (A8 to the end) and copy.
12. Click on BLACK Tab 4th Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 3rd Choice.
a. Paste the data from Step 9e into cell 9a.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 3rd Choice (Voting positions 13 thru 17 – example: Caldwell=13, Caraker=14, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 4th Choice but not a 1st, 2nd, or 3rd choice.
e. Highlight the remaining data (A8 to the end) and copy.
13. Click on BLACK Tab 5th Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 4th Choice.
a. Paste the data from Step 10e into cell 9a.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 4th Choice (Voting positions 20 thru 24 – example: Caldwell=20, Caraker=21, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 5th Choice but not a 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th choice.
14. Click on RED Tab 3rd Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 1st & 2nd Choice in Armory Precinct.
a. Column B should already be sorted.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 1st & 2nd Choice (Voting positions 16 thru 20 – example: Caldwell=16,Caraker=17, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 3rd Choice but not a 1st or 2nd choice (Voting positions 26 thru 30).
e. Highlight the remaining data (A8 to the end) and copy.
15. Click on RED Tab 4th Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 3rd Choice.
a. Paste the data from Step 12e into cell 9a.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 3rd Choice (Voting positions 26 thru 30 – example: Caldwell=26, Caraker=27, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 4th Choice but not a 1st, 2nd, or 3rd choice.
e. Highlight the remaining data (A8 to the end) and copy.
16. Click on RED Tab 5th Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 4th Choice.
a. Paste the data from Step 13e into cell 9a.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 4th Choice (Voting positions 33 thru 37 – example: Caldwell=33, Caraker=34, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 5th Choice but not a 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th choice.
17. Click on BLUE Tab 3rd Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 1st & 2nd Choice in Armory Precinct.
a. Column B should already be sorted.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 1st & 2nd Choice (Voting positions 11 thru 15 – example: Caldwell=11, Caraker=12, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 3rd Choice but not a 1st or 2nd choice (Voting positions 21 thru 25).
e. Highlight the remaining data (A8 to the end) and copy.
18. Click on BLUE Tab 4th Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 3rd Choice.
a. Paste the data from Step 15e into cell 9a.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 3rd Choice (Voting positions 21 thru 25 – example: Caldwell=21, Caraker=22, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 4th Choice but not a 1st, 2nd, or 3rd choice.e. Highlight the remaining data (A8 to the end) and copy.
19. Click on BLUE Tab 5th Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 4th Choice.
a. Paste the data from Step 16e into cell 9a.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 4th Choice (Voting positions 28 thru 32 – example: Caldwell=28,Caraker=29, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 5th Choice but not a 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th choice.
20. Click on YELLOW Tab Grand Totals – The votes displayed in the grand totals for the Runoff Candidates should be the final results.

What is wrong with this?

1. This work around removes vote data from the ES&S Unity system to a system not tested with it - exporting data first to notepad/wordpad and then excell to tabulate the votes.

a. neither word pad, note pad or excell have been tested for their vote tabulation ability.

b. this process erases audit data as it progresses, excell doesn't have an audit trail, and some versions of excell have bugs.c. it is not known what happens to the data as it is moved from the ES&S vote tabulation system to a non ES&S vote tabulation system.

2. All parts of the vote tabulation system must be federally tested together, to ensure they work together. This set up has not been federally tested or approved.

3. There are over 100 steps in the process, with instructions like "click on the red tab, or click on the blue tab", and one single keystroke error would change the outcome of the election, and there is no audit trail for this process.

4. Audit data is deleted as steps are performed.
http://www.ncvoter.net/downloads/Henderson_County_IRV%20Tabulation.pdf

Thursday, July 17, 2008

Instant Runoff - If I Were Crazy, I'd Count Votes THIS Way

Since North Carolina passed the Public Confidence in Election Law, its been harder to mess up the vote. But then came the boutique style, rube-goldberg-esque Instant Runoff Voting. A creative way to complicate voting. In 2007, Instant runoff voting was piloted/tested in Hendersonville and Cary, North Carolina. There is no federally approved software to count instant runoff voting so the NC State BoE set up this "workaround" to help out Henderson County, NC, a touchscreen jurisdiction. Luckily there was no "runoff" so the work around was not used. The pilot program has since expired. In this case, a boutique-style election fad trumps election transparency:

If I were crazy, this is how I would have counted the instant runoff election for Hendersonville, North Carolina:

The Henderson IRV Touch Screen Tabulation Work-Around -
Is it as easy as 1-2-3?


1. This work around removes vote data from the ES&S Unity system to a system not tested with it - exporting data first to notepad/wordpad and then excell to tabulate the votes.

a. neither word pad, note pad or excell have been tested for their vote tabulation ability.
b. this process erases audit data as it progresses, excell doesn't have an audit trail, and some versions of excell have bugs.
c. it is not known what happens to the data as it is moved from the ES&S vote tabulation system to a non ES&S vote tabulation system.

2. All parts of the vote tabulation system must be federally tested together, to ensure they work together.

3. There are over 100 steps in the process, with instructions like "click on the red tab, or click on the blue tab", and one single keystroke error would change the outcome of the election, and there is no audit trail for this process. Audit data is deleted as steps are performed.

Just glance at the full 5 pages single spaced details on how to perform this work around. A glance is all you need to get the point. It is crazy.

The Full Hendersonville County IRV Tabulation Procedures
If you have trouble printing this from the email, you can download the document from this file

Determine if there are any candidates that have received the 50% threshold to be declared winner(s). Use document - Henderson County IRV Tabulation –Threshold.pdf.

To tabulate a runoff election follow these procedures:
1. Announce the two (2) candidates that are in the Instant Runoff.
2. Print document - Hendersonville IRV-Ballot Position Numbers.pdf to determine the voting positions for each candidate in the Instant Runoff.
3. Remove the “Compact Flash Cards” from the iVotronic voting devices in the City of Hendersonville precincts.
4. Capture the Election Data in ERM;
a. Clear Audit Data in ERM.
b. Import Compact Flash Audit Data
c. Collect Audit Data - From Specified Drive –
c:\elecdata\7GNCHEND\GNGFLASH\ADT.
d. Select machines from Armory Precinct only.
e. Consolidate Audit Data.
f. Create Vote Image Log.
g. Print Vote Image Log – Select Contest/Precinct, Numbers Only, Printer.
h. Select EL155 from the Report File Utility and click on Copy – Name the file IRV_Armory.txt and copy to a location that you can retrieve from (desktop, portable flash drive, etc).
i. Clear Audit Data in ERM.
j. Collect Audit Data - From Specified Drive –c:\elecdata\7GNCHEND\GNGFLASH\ADT.
k. Select machines from Southwest Precinct only.
l. Consolidate Audit Data.
m. Create Vote Image Log.
n. Print Vote Image Log – Select Contest/Precinct, Numbers Only, Printer.
o. Select EL155 from the Report File Utility and click on Copy – Name the file IRV_Southwest.txt and copy to a location that you can retrieve from (desktop, portable flash drive, etc).
p. Clear Audit Data in ERM.
q. Collect Audit Data - From Specified Drive –c:\elecdata\7GNCHEND\GNGFLASH\ADT.
r. Select machines from all remaining Hendersonville precinct machines.
s. Consolidate Audit Data.
t. Create Vote Image Log.
u. Print Vote Image Log – Select Contest/Precinct, Numbers Only, Printer.
v. Select EL155 from the Report File Utility and click on Copy – Name the file IRV_All and copy to a location that you can retrieve from (desktop, portable flash drive, etc).
5. Open a blank Excel Spreadsheet and import.
a. Change “files of type” to All Files - Select file IRV_Armory.txt to import – Click on OK.
b. Select Fixed width and click on Next.
c. Place separators at 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45 and 50.
d. Press Next and then Finish. Save the Excel File with the name IRV_Armory.xls and a location that you can retrieve.
6. Open a blank Excel Spreadsheet and import.
a. Change “files of type” to All Files - Select file IRV_Southwest.txt to import – Click on OK.
b. Select Fixed width and click on Next.
c. Place separators at 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45 and 50.
d. Press Next and then Finish. Save the Excel File with the name IRV_Southwest.xls and a location that you can retrieve.
7. Open a blank Excel Spreadsheet and import.
a. Change “files of type” to All Files - Select file IRV_All.txt to import –
Click on OK.
b. Select Fixed width and click on Next.
c. Place separators at 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45 and 50.
d. Press Next and then Finish. Save the Excel File with the name
IRV_All.xls and a location that you can retrieve.
8. Open file Hendersonville IRV Tabulation Form.xls.
9. Open the Excel file that you created in Step 5d.
a. Delete Column B
b. Sort data on Column A
c. Delete all rows without machine numbers.
d. Highlight all the data for Armory Precinct and copy.
e. Copy the data into Hendersonville IRV Tabulation Form.xls in the RED Tab 1st-2nd Choice – click in Cell A9 and then copy.
f. Highlight the imported data (A9 to the end) and sort on Column B
g. Using the file created in Step 5d, highlight all the data for Southwest Precinct and copy.
h. Copy the data into Hendersonville IRV Tabulation Form.xls in the BLUE Tab 1st-2nd Choice – click in Cell A9 and then copy.
i. Highlight the imported data (A9 to the end) and sort on Column B
j. Using the file created in Step 5d, highlight all the data for all the other precincts in the City of Hendersonville (excluding Armory and Southwest) and copy.
k. Copy the data into Hendersonville IRV Tabulation Form.xls in the BLACK Tab 1st-2nd Choice – click in Cell A9 and then copy.
l. Highlight the imported data (A9 to the end) and sort on Column B.
10. Verify that the vote totals for the candidates match the ERM Report.
a. Click on Yellow Tab Grand Totals – Totals for each candidate should match the report on ERM.
b. Print copy of YELLOW Tab Grand Totals.
11. Click on BLACK Tab 3rd Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 1st & 2nd Choice.
a. Column B should already be sorted.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 1st & 2nd Choice (Voting positions 3 thru 7 – example: Caldwell=3, Caraker=4, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 3rd Choice but not a 1st or 2nd choice (Voting positions 13 thru 17).
e. Highlight the remaining data (A8 to the end) and copy.
12. Click on BLACK Tab 4th Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 3rd Choice.
a. Paste the data from Step 9e into cell 9a.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 3rd Choice (Voting positions 13 thru 17 – example: Caldwell=13, Caraker=14, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 4th Choice but not a 1st, 2nd, or 3rd choice.
e. Highlight the remaining data (A8 to the end) and copy.
13. Click on BLACK Tab 5th Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 4th Choice.
a. Paste the data from Step 10e into cell 9a.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 4th Choice (Voting positions 20 thru 24 – example: Caldwell=20, Caraker=21, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 5th Choice but not a 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th choice.
14. Click on RED Tab 3rd Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 1st & 2nd Choice in Armory Precinct.
a. Column B should already be sorted.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 1st & 2nd Choice (Voting positions 16 thru 20 – example: Caldwell=16,
Caraker=17, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 3rd Choice but not a 1st or 2nd choice (Voting positions 26 thru 30).
e. Highlight the remaining data (A8 to the end) and copy.
15. Click on RED Tab 4th Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 3rd Choice.
a. Paste the data from Step 12e into cell 9a.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 3rd Choice (Voting positions 26 thru 30 – example: Caldwell=26, Caraker=27, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 4th Choice but not a 1st, 2nd, or 3rd choice.
e. Highlight the remaining data (A8 to the end) and copy.
16. Click on RED Tab 5th Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 4th Choice.
a. Paste the data from Step 13e into cell 9a.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 4th Choice (Voting positions 33 thru 37 – example: Caldwell=33, Caraker=34, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 5th Choice but not a 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th choice.
17. Click on BLUE Tab 3rd Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 1st & 2nd Choice in Armory Precinct.
a. Column B should already be sorted.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 1st & 2nd Choice (Voting positions 11 thru 15 – example: Caldwell=11, Caraker=12, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 3rd Choice but not a 1st or 2nd choice (Voting positions 21 thru 25).
e. Highlight the remaining data (A8 to the end) and copy.
18. Click on BLUE Tab 4th Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 3rd Choice.
a. Paste the data from Step 15e into cell 9a.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 3rd Choice (Voting positions 21 thru 25 – example: Caldwell=21, Caraker=22, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 4th Choice but not a 1st, 2nd, or 3rd choice.
e. Highlight the remaining data (A8 to the end) and copy.
19. Click on BLUE Tab 5th Choice – Remove all votes for Runoff candidates from 4th Choice.
a. Paste the data from Step 16e into cell 9a.
b. Highlight all rows that have a vote for the runoff candidates from 4th Choice (Voting positions 28 thru 32 – example: Caldwell=28,
Caraker=29, etc.).
c. Delete the selected rows.
d. The votes for the runoff candidates should now reflect the votes cast for the runoff candidates that were a 5th Choice but not a 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th choice.
20. Click on YELLOW Tab Grand Totals – The votes displayed in the grand totals for the Runoff Candidates should be the final results.

News and Observer: Instant runoff voting well intentioned but expensive

Here's a letter to the editor of the Raleigh News and Observer that debunks the claim that Instant Runoff Voting saves money. The fact is that IRV is costly. Perry Woods of Raleigh writes:

A costly change July 15, 2008

Officials of the Wake County Board of Elections made an apples-to-oranges comparison of costs in a July 2 People's Forum letter advocating instant runoff voting.

IRV does not save money. It would be expensive to implement, and there are higher recurring costs as well. New equipment and software, worker training, voter education, ballot printing and programming all add up. Utilizing estimates from the state of Maryland, it would cost North Carolina approximately $20 million to start and nearly $3 million annually whether we have a runoff or not.


In the IRV pilot program in Cary, ballots were taken from where they were cast to be counted, and IRV ballots were counted before provisional votes. In Hendersonville, uncertified software was used. This undermines transparency and confidence in our elections.

IRV is a well-intentioned idea that violates the keep-it-simple principle of election integrity. It is more challenging to audit, recount and detect errors. It can be confusing to voters. How many who participated in the May 8 statewide primary could have confidently ranked all four candidates in the Democratic primary for labor commissioner, much less every race on that long ballot? There are less risky and less costly solutions to the problem of high cost/low interest runoffs.

Perry Woods
Raleigh

Tuesday, July 15, 2008

Debra Goldberg Warns Take Action Now - IRV Pilot Advancing in NC Senate

"We don’t want to experiment with or to further complicate our voting system in North Carolina. We need to protect our wonderful public confidence in elections laws by refusing to allow IRV to proceed in North Carolina, thereby keeping elections auditable, verifiable, clean and straightforward." - Debra Goldberg, former Wake Board of Elections Official

From: Debra Goldberg
Subject: WARNING - Take Action Now - IRV pilot advancing in NC Senate

Tuesday, July 15, 2008, This is an action alert requiring your immediate attention. (Please share this message, right away, with anyone who cares about verified voting and wants to keep our North Carolina Public Confidence in Elections Law intact.)

Please contact members of the NC State Senate today and tomorrow to let them know that they should NOT with concur SB-1263a in its current form. SB1263a is an omnibus elections bill. The NC House amended SB1263a to extend the piloting of Instant Runoff Voting (IRV). (The bill passed its third reading in the House on July 14, and is before the senate for concurrence on July 15 or 16. If the senate votes not to concur, the bill will be referred to a conference committee.) Tell the senators to stop IRV from further piloting. We don’t want to experiment with or to further complicate our voting system in North Carolina. We need to protect our wonderful public confidence in elections laws by refusing to allow IRV to proceed in North Carolina, thereby keeping elections auditable, verifiable, clean and straightforward.

I served on the Wake County Board of Elections when the first pilot for IRV was held in Wake County – Cary, during last fall’s municipal elections. I am one of only a very few people in NC with direct experience implementing IRV. I am convinced that IRV, even if it saves money, which is highly questionable, is not practical to implement while still protecting the integrity of our votes and voter confidence in our elections. Even with the very few votes we counted in the one small race which went to a runoff during the Cary IRV pilot, complications and questions from the public arose. The process was complex and extremely time and staff intensive. I foresee a logistical nightmare scenario were IRV to be used in an election of a substantial size.




Furthermore, IRV opens the door to pressures to relax our wonderful state standards for voting machinery and software. (IRV votes are counted by hand – there is no acceptable software on which to count IRV). Because counting IRV votes is so complicated, IRV proponents will surely press for allowing uncertified software and undesirable voting machines to be used in North Carolina. We cannot allow this to happen – voting is so important.

IRV seems like an innocent or even good idea on the surface, and is being touted as a convenience and cost saver, but it is not. IRV fundamentally changes many aspects of our voting process, making voting more complicated, more technology dependent, more expensive, more confusing, and less auditable. IRV has changed the outcome of elections and has threatened, if implemented, has the likelihood to further disenfranchise minority candidates and minority voters.

Protecting our democracy by keeping our verified voting standards is not a special or partisan issue. North Carolina voters of every background (republican, democrat, liberal, conservative, disabled groups, minority groups, mainstream groups) agree that we do not want any changes to our voting which may, in any way, compromise the integrity of our votes or which makes the voting process complicated. Please join in our effort to halt IRV in NC.

Contact immediately Senator Martin Nesbitt (919-715-3001 email martinn@ncleg.net) and your own NC State Senator to look up your own senator's email: http://www.ncleg.net/gascripts/members/memberList.pl?sChamber=Senate
Again, I urge you to squash the efforts to expand or continue Instant Runoff Voting in North Carolina. IRV is expensive and makes our system of voting difficult and complex, opening the door to questions about the integrity of our voting system. We must protect our democracy by protecting the integrity of our votes. I am counting on you to help protect NC voters.

Sincerely,
Debra D. Goldberg
Raleigh, NC
Email: dgoldbergvote2008 at earthlink.net



Friday, July 11, 2008

Instant Runoff Can Hurt Your Preferred Candidate, North Carolinians

A Critical Failure of Instant Runoff Voting – hurting your preferred candidate by voting for him. Also called non-monotonicity – when a candidate can lose if more voters favor him/her or win when fewer voters favor him/her.

Dr. Steven Brams of New York University explains: "The example below… shows how nonmonotonicity can occur when all except the top two candidates are eliminated.." 12/09/07

Here's the nonmonotonicity example from Approval Voting, pp. 142-143, with four classes of voters (total: 17 voters) ranking three candidates:


Candidate “A” wins . Because nobody has a majority of 9 votes on the 1st round, C, the candidate with the fewest first-place votes (5), is eliminated. His 5 votes go to A, who wins with 11 (6 + 5) votes.

Here are the same classes of voters, with class # 4’s rankings changed:

Candidate “C” wins. Now assume the 2 class (4) voters change their preference ranking to the following: 4'. 2: ABC (as above)

Again, nobody has a majority of 9 votes on the 1st round. Because B gets the fewest first-place votes (4), he is eliminated, and his 4 votes go to C, who wins with 9 (5 + 4) votes.

In summary, candidate “A” wins when he is ranked second by the class (4) voters, but he loses (to C) when he is ranked first by these voters. Thus, “A” wins when fewer voters favor him, and he loses when more voters favor him.

This example is not as dramatic as my earlier example, when raising a candidate from last to first place--instead of second to first--causes him to lose, but it is still an example of nonmonotonicity. It shows that when one drops all except the top two candidates in the 1st round (in this example, only one candidate since there are a total of three), nonmonotonicity can still occur. This example can be easily extended--by adding voters and candidates--so that when one drops more than one candidate on the 1st round to eliminate all except the top two, nonmonotonicity can still occur.

Steven J. Brams
Dept. of Politics
19 West 4th St., 2d Fl.
E-mail: steven.brams at nyu.edu
New York University, New York, NY 10012

Wednesday, July 9, 2008

Update On Instant Runoff Experiments and North Carolina Elections, Judiciary I Committee Results

We're in better shape then we were yesterday, but much vigilance will be required. Two amendments were passed today in Judiciary I that should protect our Public Confidence in Elections Law, ensure that standards and safeguards are developed, and require that instant runoff experiments cannot be forced on governing bodies in North Carolina if they do not want them. Our hope, followed by our continued vigilence is that the standards will be the highest and that no pilot program will be undertaken lightly.

Thanks to Janice Sears for preparing this message:

Dear Voting Integrity Advocate,

Two amendments were passed today, and they represent a nice compromise. The Instant Runoff Voting (IRV) pilot can proceed, but with some very important added requirements.

The first amendment requires that the governing body that will be up for IRV election has to agree to it instead of just the local board of elections, and that educating voters must be part of the plan so that people will know how to mark their ballots and the boards of elections will not have to depend on the kindness of any advocacy groups. This is important because the voter education can be standardized and the legislature will get a true picture of the costs for effective voter ed. It is difficult if not impossible to tell how much money is needed to educate voters over the long term when groups with a vested interest step in to help for free temporarily.

The second amendment that requires the State Board Of Elections and the Institute of Government to develop goals, standards, and criteria consistent with current election law by Jan. 1 for implementation and evaluation of pilots. This should insure that we have uniform measurements of success, failure, advantages and pitfalls of any pilots conducted across the state in different communities. We have a very important and pleasant job to do now! Please ask everyone you know who cares about voting integrity to send thank you e-mails to the members of the Judiciary 1 Committee with “Thank you” in the Subject line.

Please thank Chairman Debra Ross for allowing a hearing, debate and amendments on the issue. She did not have to do that, and in many ways was counter to what she was working to accomplish, which was moving the bill.

Please thank Melanie Goodwin, the bill sponsor for supporting a reasonable compromise amendment.

And please give special thanks to Rep. Insko and Rep. Bryant for standing up for voters and the Public Confidence in Elections Act, and say thanks to the other members for supporting goals, standards and criteria consistent with current election law for implementation and evaluation of pilots.

Here are the members of Judiciary 1 and their email addresses for your convenience:

Chairman: Representative Deborah Ross email address Deborahr@ncleg.net
Vice Chair: Rep. Melanie Goodwin email address melanieg@ncleg.net
Vice Chair Rep. Paul Stam email address Pauls@ncleg.net
Vice Chair Rep. Bonner L. Stiller email address Bonners@ncleg.net
Members: Rep. Martha Alexander email address marthaa@ncleg.net
Rep. John Blust email address johnbl@ncleg.net
Rep. Angela Bryant email address angelab@ncleg.net
Rep. Debbie Clary email address debbiec@ncleg.net
Rep. Larry Hall email address larryh@ncleg.net
Rep. Pricey Harrison email address priceyh@ncleg.net
Rep. George Holmes email address georgeh@ncleg.net
Rep. Verla Insko email address verlai@ncleg.net
Rep. Grier Martin email address grierm@ncleg.net
Rep. Annie Mobley email address anniem@ncleg.net
Rep. Roger West email address rogerw@ncleg.net

I am including samples of my thank you letters to each below that you can personalize for your own use or just write your own! And last but not least, I want to thank each and every one of you from the bottom of my heart for all of your hard work on this matter. To paraphrase Thomas Jefferson, [the price of voting integrity is constant vigilance] and thanks to the vigilance of each and every one of you, we have encouraged and supported the legislature to preserve the protections of the Public Confidence in Elections Act.

Very truly yours,

Janice Sears
Member NC Coalition for Verifiable Voting
Member For All NC

#

Subject: Thank you for the fair and equitable compromise on SB1263--Thanks a million!

Dear Chairman Ross,

I want to express to you my utmost gratitude for your patience and willingness to hold a hearing, debates and amendments on the IRV section of SB1263. You did not have to do this but you wanted us to all have a chance to be heard. I know that this hasn't been easy for anyone on the Judiciary 1 Committee, especially you, having to deal with such a polarizing issue where the emotions of the voters run high, especially when it was just one part of a much bigger bill that is going to do so much good for the voters of North Carolina, especially since time is running out in this legislative session.

After attending two sessions of your committee, I saw how hard your committees have to work to construct and refine our laws for the best interests of the citizens of this state within very real time constraints. You never seem to lose your smile or your composure or your vision of a better future for the citizens of our state. Thanks again for being such a wonderful representative of all of the people and a great committee chairperson, too. And most of all, thanks to you and all of your committee for preserving Public Confidence in Elections.

Very truly yours,

Janice Sears
Member North Carolina Verifiable Voting
Member For All NC
Precinct Chair Wake County

Subject: Thanks a million for supporting a reasonable compromise amendment to SB1263 and preserving Public Confidence in Elections

Dear Representative Goodwin,

I wanted to give you my heartfelt thanks for supporting the compromise amendments to SB1263 that will ensure that we will still have Public Confidence in Elections. I know that you have the best interests of all of the citizens of North Carolina at heart, and SB1263 will provide some very real enhancements and protections. Thank you for your patience and willingness to listen and help work out a compromise on such a polarizing issue.

There are many of us who put our hearts and souls into working to help pass the Public Confidence in Elections law. I realize that there are many people now who are pinning their hopes on the IRV pilot for many reasons. You have made it possible to preserve election integrity while allowing this new voting method to be tested. Thank you so much for a fair and equitable solution to this very emotional matter.

Very truly yours,

Janice Sears
Member North Carolina Coalition of Verifiable Voting
Member For All NC
Precinct Chair Wake County

Subject: Thank you for preserving Public Confidence in Elections and standing up for voters with the great amendments to SB1263!!!

Dear Representative Bryant:

Thank you from the bottom of my heart for protecting the rights of the voters and Public Confidence in Elections with the great amendments to SB1263. If we are going to test a new way of voting, we must be very sure that we do not disenfranchise our voters in the process and we do not want to weaken any voter protections that are already in place. Thank you so much for realizing the possible dangers of the IRV pilot right away and insisting on making provisions to protect all our voters to make sure that their ballots are not spoiled and their voices are heard.

You have a lot of courage and insight and the voters of North Carolina are lucky to have you representing us in the General Assembly. I hope to get to work with you again in the future, because I admire and respect your wisdom and your sense of responsibility for well being of the citizens of this state.

Very truly yours,

Janice Sears
Member North Carolina Coalition for Verifiable Voting
Member For All NC
Precinct Chair Wake County

Subject: Thank you a million times for protecting Public Confidence in Elections and finding a way to a good compromise on SB1263

Dear Representative Insko,

I feel deeply indebted to you for your tireless work to protect voting integrity in North Carolina. Four years ago I was horrified to learn that the Board of Elections wanted to move toward the use of all touch screen voting machines with no means of voter verification or meaningful audit. Thanks to you and Senator Kinnaird and many others, we have a wonderful law that protects voter verified paper ballots, federally certified software held in escrow, meaningful random audits of vote counts, and safeguards against voting software revisions without certification.

It was very frightening to learn of the IRV amendment as it first appeared in SB1263, because we had already seen with the first pilot that there were problems due to the lack of federally certified software, the inability to conduct all of the vote counting at the polling place, the very small amount of officially funded voter education, and the seeming lack of a standardized way to measure the success, failure, advantages and pitfalls of such an experiment.

Thank you for being so wise and brave and standing up for our right to vote and have our vote count!

Very truly yours,

Janice Sears
Member North Carolina Coalition for Verifiable Voting
Member For All NC
Precinct Chair Wake County

Subject: Thank you! Thank you! Thank you! For your support of the very important amendments to SB1263!

Dear Representative xxxxxxx:

Thank you for your willingness to listen to our concerns and your patience in working out a compromise that preserves Public Confidence in Elections while providing a safer way to test a new method of voting and vote counting without sacrificing important voter protections.

I appreciate your work on the Judiciary 1 Committee in crafting not only SB1263 but many other laws that improve the well being of every citizen of this state. It must be very stressful to go through such a heavy work load of bills, especially as you near the end of a legislative session, so I am doubly grateful for your willingness to let us be heard and your help in working out this very good solution.

Very truly yours,

Janice Sears
Member North Carolina Coalition for Verifiable Voting
Member For All NC
Precinct Chair Wake County